Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.375942 0.487365 0.608480 0.748106 0.902997 1.068131 1.256141
2025-08-24 0.185020 0.319150 0.484048 0.691992 0.939345 1.217822 1.549346
2025-08-31 0.105264 0.240239 0.424882 0.673495 0.982882 1.342598 1.781498
2025-09-07 0.061658 0.193624 0.394605 0.680992 1.050324 1.490126 2.036202
2025-09-14 0.030932 0.151362 0.359677 0.674102 1.093351 1.603323 2.246100
2025-09-21 0.011096 0.113165 0.321436 0.656001 1.117173 1.689570 2.421051
2025-09-28 0.005314 0.103220 0.325821 0.696023 1.215229 1.866225 2.703810
2025-10-05 0.002415 0.098322 0.337439 0.745747 1.325693 2.058144 3.005055
2025-10-12 0.000497 0.090274 0.341364 0.782934 1.418725 2.227885 3.279212
2025-10-19 0.000074 0.090284 0.360346 0.842890 1.542651 2.436755 3.601428
2025-10-26 NaN 0.085974 0.369628 0.887365 1.645203 2.618483 3.890472
2025-11-02 NaN 0.072991 0.358192 0.897985 1.700314 2.739289 4.104301
2025-11-09 NaN 0.046203 0.309234 0.847212 1.671650 2.756437 4.195941
2025-11-16 NaN 0.024437 0.259227 0.788819 1.629045 2.753950 4.262581
2025-11-23 NaN 0.014168 0.233663 0.768565 1.638464 2.817026 4.408895
2025-11-30 NaN 0.009512 0.224468 0.776717 1.689025 2.934151 4.623228
2025-12-07 NaN 0.004816 0.208043 0.769301 1.715256 3.018197 4.795172
2025-12-14 NaN 0.001352 0.186846 0.749895 1.721889 3.075039 4.931830
2025-12-21 NaN 0.001255 0.196307 0.792795 1.824363 3.261573 5.234592
2025-12-28 NaN 0.001509 0.210674 0.845993 1.942919 3.470097 5.565771
2026-01-04 NaN 0.001298 0.218538 0.885705 2.040674 3.650522 5.861099
2026-01-11 NaN 0.001921 0.237987 0.949616 2.176051 3.882166 6.222316
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001953 0.249433 0.996939 2.285823 4.079187 6.539305